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La Liga. Matchday 12

Barcelona vs Alavés analysis

Barcelona Alavés
94 ELO 70
-9% Tilt -32%
General ELO ranking 223º
Country ELO ranking 19º
ELO win probability
84.6%
Barcelona
11.7%
Draw
3.7%
Alavés

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.6%
Win probability
Barcelona
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
17.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
11.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.7%
3.7%
Win probability
Alavés
0.38
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Barcelona
-18%
-76%
Alavés

Points and table prediction

Barcelona
Their league position
Alavés
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
6
18º
20º
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
R. Sociedad
20
64
7%
Osasuna
18
60
8%
Real Madrid
17
91
1%
Sevilla
17
67
7%
Atlético
17
71
9%
Rayo Vallecano
16
58
6%
Athletic
16
53
11º
6%
Barcelona
15
75
4%
Real Betis
15
61
5%
Valencia
10º
13
64
5%
Espanyol
11º
13
42
13º
5%
Mallorca
12º
12
38
15º
6%
Villarreal
13º
11
55
10º
5%
Elche
14º
10
35
17º
6%
Celta
15º
7
40
14º
6%
Granada
16º
7
43
12º
7%
Cádiz
17º
7
36
16º
6%
Alavés
18º
6
23
20º
8%
Levante
19º
5
35
18º
8%
Getafe
20º
2
25
19º
9%
Expected probabilities
Barcelona
Alavés
Champion
35% 0%
Champions League
31% 6%
Europa League
7% 3%
Europa Conference League
4% 3%
Mid-table
22% 61%
Relegation
2% 26%

ELO progression

Alavés
ALA
Barcelona
FCB
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
Celta
CEL
Rayo Vallecano
RAY
Vorskla Poltava
VOR
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Barcelona
Barcelona
1%
X%
2%
ELO FCB ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
1 - 0
Dinamo Kiev
DYN
84%
11%
5%
3492 1876 1616 +6
17 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
3 - 1
Valencia
VCF
73%
18%
10%
3483 2661 822 +7
13 Oct. 2021
FCB
Barcelona
2 - 2
Cornellà
COR
74%
15%
11%
3507 558 2949 -25
02 Oct. 2021
ATM
Atlético
2 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
46%
27%
27%
3526 3264 -262 -19
29 Sep. 2021
SLB
Benfica
3 - 0
Barcelona
FCB
42%
27%
31%
3575 3187 -388 -46

Matches

Alavés
Alavés
1%
X%
2%
ELO ALA ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 2021
CAD
Cádiz
0 - 2
Alavés
ALA
51%
26%
23%
1882 1928 46 0
18 Oct. 2021
ALA
Alavés
0 - 1
Real Betis
BET
36%
27%
37%
1890 2491 -601 -9
08 Oct. 2021
OSA
Osasuna
2 - 1
Alavés
ALA
56%
24%
20%
1907 2207 300 -17
01 Oct. 2021
ATH
Athletic
1 - 0
Alavés
ALA
64%
21%
16%
1913 2542 629 -6
25 Sep. 2021
ALA
Alavés
1 - 0
Atlético
ATM
21%
24%
55%
1892 3257 -1365 +21