Barcelona SC vs CD El Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barcelona SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
BSC
58%
25%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
BSC
0 - 2
CUE
43%
28%
30%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ESP
2 - 3
BSC
41%
29%
31%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
BSC
1 - 1
LOJ
51%
27%
22%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
QUI
1 - 0
BSC
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CD El Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2011 |
NAC
1 - 2
IMB
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
LIG
2 - 1
NAC
62%
22%
16%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
NAC
4 - 1
MAN
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2011 |
IVT
1 - 0
NAC
46%
27%
28%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
EME
1 - 1
NAC
56%
25%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |