Barbados vs Nicaragua analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.8%
16.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.8%
74.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.9%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
15%
0-4
6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
8%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Barbados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
DOM
5 - 2
BRB
75%
16%
9%
|
34 | 53 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
BRB
0 - 5
DOM
12%
19%
70%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
5 - 1
BRB
73%
18%
10%
|
36 | 53 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
BRB
2 - 3
MSR
43%
22%
35%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ATG
1 - 2
BRB
70%
19%
11%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Nicaragua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
NIC
3 - 0
MSR
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
MSR
0 - 3
NIC
12%
16%
72%
|
54 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2023 |
NIC
5 - 1
BRB
73%
18%
10%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
DOM
0 - 2
NIC
42%
25%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
PRY
2 - 0
NIC
76%
16%
8%
|
53 | 84 | 31 | -1 |