Bangu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.3%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
66.8%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27.1%
0-2
15%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
MAC
2 - 2
BAN
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
1 - 0
DUQ
35%
27%
38%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
MAD
0 - 1
BAN
37%
25%
38%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BAN
0 - 1
FLU
12%
22%
66%
|
57 | 85 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2010 |
BOT
2 - 2
BAN
85%
11%
4%
|
56 | 81 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
3 - 1
OLA
88%
9%
3%
|
84 | 52 | 32 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
4 - 1
MAD
88%
9%
3%
|
83 | 50 | 33 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 5
BOT
11%
20%
70%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
BOT
2 - 1
DUQ
84%
12%
5%
|
83 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
56%
23%
21%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |