Bangladesh vs Nepal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.6%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bangladesh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2016 |
BGD
4 - 2
LKA
47%
24%
29%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2015 |
BTN
0 - 3
BGD
28%
24%
49%
|
36 | 22 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
BGD
1 - 3
MDV
26%
26%
48%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Dec. 2015 |
AFG
4 - 0
BGD
59%
22%
18%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
BGD
0 - 4
AUS
8%
19%
73%
|
39 | 86 | 47 | -1 |
Matches
Nepal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2016 |
NPL
1 - 0
LKA
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
IND
4 - 1
NPL
57%
23%
20%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 1
LKA
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
IND
0 - 0
NPL
59%
22%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2015 |
NPL
0 - 0
IND
32%
26%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |