FNL Playoffs Descenso. Jor. 9

Baltika Kaliningrad vs Chernomorets Novorossisk analysis

Baltika Kaliningrad Chernomorets Novorossisk
60 ELO 56
-16.4% Tilt -15.3%
1249º General ELO ranking 3262º
15º Country ELO ranking 41º
ELO win probability
51.2%
Baltika Kaliningrad
27.2%
Draw
21.6%
Chernomorets Novorossisk

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
Baltika Kaliningrad
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.2%
21.6%
Win probability
Chernomorets Novorossisk
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Baltika Kaliningrad
+7%
-1%
Chernomorets Novorossisk

ELO progression

Baltika Kaliningrad
Chernomorets Novorossisk
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Baltika Kaliningrad
Baltika Kaliningrad
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 May. 2012
SKA
SKA-Khabarovsk
0 - 0
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
45%
28%
27%
59 58 1 0
26 Apr. 2012
BAL
Baltika Kaliningrad
2 - 0
Fakel
FAK
52%
27%
21%
58 55 3 +1
20 Apr. 2012
VOL
Volgar Astrakhan
0 - 1
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
59%
24%
18%
57 62 5 +1
13 Apr. 2012
BAL
Baltika Kaliningrad
0 - 1
Yenisey
YEN
45%
27%
28%
58 57 1 -1
07 Apr. 2012
KHI
FK Khimki
1 - 1
Baltika Kaliningrad
BAL
53%
25%
22%
58 58 0 0

Matches

Chernomorets Novorossisk
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 May. 2012
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1 - 2
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
40%
27%
33%
57 58 1 0
02 May. 2012
FAK
Fakel
0 - 0
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
40%
29%
31%
57 54 3 0
26 Apr. 2012
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
0 - 0
Volgar Astrakhan
VOL
38%
29%
34%
57 61 4 0
20 Apr. 2012
YEN
Yenisey
2 - 1
Chernomorets Novorossisk
CHE
49%
27%
24%
57 57 0 0
13 Apr. 2012
CHE
Chernomorets Novorossisk
1 - 0
FK Khimki
KHI
41%
27%
32%
57 57 0 0
X