Balma vs Aigues Mortes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
30%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
3 - 0
BEA
33%
24%
43%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
BAL
2 - 0
FAB
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
CAS
3 - 1
BAL
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
BAL
3 - 1
FAB
38%
26%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
AGD
2 - 1
BAL
46%
25%
30%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aigues Mortes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
FAB
0 - 2
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 0
MUR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
SAM
0 - 0
MUR
49%
22%
29%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BLA
1 - 0
SAM
44%
23%
33%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
SAM
3 - 1
OLY
32%
22%
45%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +3 |