Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
46.5%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
13º
12º
55
2º
8º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 37 |
6º
|
86.5% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 34 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
57.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
82% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 29 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
16 | 16 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 0
COL
27%
26%
47%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 0
FBP
42%
24%
34%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
USJ
2 - 2
BAL
50%
22%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
BEA
1 - 1
BAL
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
ONE
37%
24%
40%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TOU
3 - 2
USJ
59%
20%
21%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
FBP
2 - 1
TOU
24%
21%
55%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ONE
1 - 1
TOU
25%
22%
53%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
TOU
2 - 0
AGD
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BEZ
1 - 0
TOU
80%
14%
6%
|
36 | 52 | 16 | 0 |