Balma vs Toulouse II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
38.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 3
LES
13%
21%
66%
|
31 | 54 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
AVE
3 - 2
BAL
67%
18%
15%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
BAL
0 - 0
LUZ
12%
23%
66%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
NAR
1 - 1
BAL
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
BAL
2 - 1
CAS
71%
17%
12%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Toulouse II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
TOU
0 - 0
ROD
52%
25%
24%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
MON
0 - 2
TOU
51%
24%
25%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2017 |
TOU
3 - 1
BLA
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
AGD
0 - 3
TOU
37%
25%
38%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +3 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
TOU
2 - 0
OLY
34%
26%
41%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +2 |