Tennent's Irish Cup . 1/16

Ballymena United vs Portadown analysis

Ballymena United Portadown
61 ELO 53
13.5% Tilt 1.2%
2856º General ELO ranking 2294º
16º Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
58%
Ballymena United
20.5%
Draw
21.5%
Portadown

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
Ballymena United
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
21.5%
Win probability
Portadown
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Ballymena United
-23%
+14%
Portadown

ELO progression

Ballymena United
Portadown
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
1 - 2
Coleraine
COL
27%
25%
48%
61 71 10 0
17 Apr. 2021
LIN
Linfield
2 - 1
Ballymena United
BAL
67%
20%
13%
61 71 10 0
10 Apr. 2021
GLE
Glenavon
3 - 2
Ballymena United
BAL
48%
25%
27%
62 61 1 -1
06 Apr. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
2 - 2
Glentoran
GLE
30%
26%
44%
61 71 10 +1
02 Apr. 2021
BAL
Ballymena United
0 - 1
Crusaders
CRU
33%
24%
43%
62 67 5 -1

Matches

Portadown
Portadown
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Apr. 2021
WAR
Warrenpoint Town
1 - 3
Portadown
POR
38%
24%
38%
53 48 5 0
20 Apr. 2021
POR
Portadown
2 - 1
Larne
LAR
17%
23%
61%
52 71 19 +1
17 Apr. 2021
POR
Portadown
1 - 2
Cliftonville
CLI
22%
25%
53%
53 67 14 -1
13 Apr. 2021
POR
Portadown
1 - 0
Dungannon Swifts
DUN
68%
19%
14%
53 44 9 0
10 Apr. 2021
POR
Portadown
2 - 0
Carrick Rangers
CAR
52%
24%
25%
51 51 0 +2
X