Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
COL
3 - 0
BAL
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
GLE
44%
23%
33%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
AUN
2 - 4
BAL
32%
22%
46%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
GLE
4 - 1
BAL
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
WAR
2 - 1
BAL
23%
24%
53%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
POR
1 - 4
DUN
70%
17%
13%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
1 - 3
CLI
11%
21%
67%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
3 - 0
ARC
55%
21%
24%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
DUN
0 - 5
COL
10%
20%
70%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 3
GLE
10%
21%
69%
|
42 | 71 | 29 | 0 |