Ballymena United vs Dungannon Swifts analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
16.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymena United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
BAL
66%
19%
15%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
INS
1 - 2
BAL
23%
25%
53%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
WAR
65%
19%
16%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
COL
0 - 1
BAL
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 3
BAL
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Dungannon Swifts
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
INS
64%
21%
16%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 1
WAR
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2015 |
DUN
1 - 0
COL
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAL
1 - 0
DUN
36%
27%
37%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GLE
2 - 0
DUN
70%
19%
11%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | 0 |