Ballymacash Rangers vs Lisburn Distillery analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.3%
12.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
4º
2º
27
6º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 47 |
2º
|
78% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
3º
|
78% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
99% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 32 |
5º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
27 | 28 |
6º
|
30.5% | |
|
8º
|
24 | 27 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
7º
|
25 | 26 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 23 |
9º
|
65.5% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
10º
|
75% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 18 |
11º
|
88.5% | |
|
12º
|
11 | 14 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 48% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 52% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballymacash Rangers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TOB
0 - 2
BRF
10%
18%
71%
|
50 | 26 | 24 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
BRF
1 - 1
BAN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
MOY
0 - 3
BRF
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRF
6 - 1
BAN
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2022 |
POR
0 - 3
BRF
32%
25%
43%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lisburn Distillery
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 0
MOY
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
LIS
1 - 2
TOB
75%
15%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
LAR
5 - 1
LIS
86%
11%
4%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
QUB
2 - 1
LIS
58%
21%
22%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
LIS
0 - 0
POR
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |