Ballinamallard United vs Ards FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
41.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
5º
10º
8º
47
3º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 55 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
46 | 46 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ballinamallard United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
HAR
3 - 1
BAL
40%
24%
36%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
GLE
13%
17%
71%
|
51 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
AUN
4 - 0
BAL
65%
19%
16%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
BAL
2 - 2
DER
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
BAL
65%
20%
15%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Ards FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
DUN
3 - 1
ARD
35%
23%
42%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
DUN
39%
25%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
KNO
3 - 2
ARD
15%
18%
67%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
2 - 1
NEY
53%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ARD
1 - 1
INS
55%
23%
22%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |