Balk vs Gorecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Balk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
HZV
3 - 0
BAL
49%
24%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
DRA
59%
22%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
BAL
4 - 1
CVV
63%
21%
16%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
ASV
3 - 1
BAL
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 0
BUI
51%
22%
27%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
BLA
0 - 5
GOR
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 26 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
GOR
3 - 0
OML
52%
21%
27%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |