Baldock Town vs Harpenden Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baldock Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
ARL
2 - 1
BAL
19%
20%
61%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2023 |
BIG
0 - 3
BAL
74%
15%
11%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 4
MKI
21%
20%
59%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -2 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
BAL
3 - 6
STP
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | -2 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 2
POT
48%
23%
29%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Harpenden Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
HAT
2 - 3
MKI
21%
25%
54%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
HAT
1 - 0
COL
64%
20%
16%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
ARL
0 - 2
HAT
18%
21%
61%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
HAT
0 - 1
COC
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | -3 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HAT
0 - 5
RBF
39%
22%
38%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -3 |