Bala Town vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+82%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
2º
6º
6º
80
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
80 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 15 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 9 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 9 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 5 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
NEW
53%
23%
24%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
1 - 2
CON
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 2
BAL
43%
26%
31%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
PEN
2 - 5
TNS
44%
25%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 5
TNS
35%
25%
40%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
7 - 1
CAR
60%
22%
18%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2023 |
CON
0 - 0
TNS
38%
27%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAL
54%
22%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |