Bala Town vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
34%
26%
39%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2021 |
CEF
3 - 5
BAL
9%
19%
72%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
HAV
0 - 0
BAL
17%
23%
60%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 4
TNS
49%
23%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 4
CON
58%
21%
22%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 0
FLI
59%
22%
19%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2021 |
ABE
2 - 4
NEW
26%
24%
49%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
NEW
2 - 1
BAR
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2021 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
58%
21%
21%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |