Bala Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 2
BAL
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
PEN
49%
25%
26%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
BRI
82%
12%
6%
|
66 | 48 | 18 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 0
BAL
54%
22%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
CON
2 - 1
CAR
44%
28%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
CON
1 - 1
BAL
39%
27%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
CON
44%
27%
29%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
76%
16%
8%
|
66 | 43 | 23 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
28%
28%
44%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | -1 |