Bala Town vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
13.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAL
24%
24%
52%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
AIR
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
POR
0 - 0
BAL
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2015 |
WAR
0 - 5
BAL
10%
19%
71%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2015 |
BAL
2 - 1
DIF
31%
23%
46%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
GUI
0 - 3
CON
19%
22%
59%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CON
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 0
CON
44%
25%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
CON
0 - 2
NEW
45%
24%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
CON
3 - 1
PRE
69%
18%
13%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |