CBF Brasileiro U20 . Jor. 3

Bahia Sub 20 vs Athlético PR Sub 20 analysis

Bahia Sub 20 Athlético PR Sub 20
35 ELO 46
-4.8% Tilt -9.6%
7780º General ELO ranking 4699º
304º Country ELO ranking 174º
ELO win probability
19.3%
Bahia Sub 20
22.4%
Draw
58.3%
Athlético PR Sub 20

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
Bahia Sub 20
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
58.3%
Win probability
Athlético PR Sub 20
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Bahia Sub 20
+35%
-6%
Athlético PR Sub 20

ELO progression

Bahia Sub 20
Athlético PR Sub 20
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Bahia Sub 20
Bahia Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2021
PAL
Palmeiras Sub 20
1 - 0
Bahia Sub 20
BAH
60%
21%
18%
35 39 4 0
26 Jun. 2021
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
2 - 2
Fluminense Sub 20
FLU
24%
24%
52%
35 44 9 0
20 Dec. 2020
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
1 - 1
Internacional Sub 20
INT
41%
23%
37%
35 37 2 0
14 Dec. 2020
BOT
Botafogo Sub 20
2 - 1
Bahia Sub 20
BAH
68%
19%
13%
35 43 8 0
06 Dec. 2020
BAH
Bahia Sub 20
0 - 2
Goiás U20s
GOI
41%
25%
34%
36 38 2 -1

Matches

Athlético PR Sub 20
Athlético PR Sub 20
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Jul. 2021
ATL
Athlético PR Sub 20
3 - 1
Sport Recife Sub 20
SPO
76%
15%
9%
46 34 12 0
27 Jun. 2021
SAO
São Paulo Sub 20
1 - 0
Athlético PR Sub 20
ATL
32%
25%
44%
47 42 5 -1
25 Jan. 2021
ATL
Athlético PR Sub 20
1 - 0
Atlético Mineiro Sub 20
ATM
53%
23%
25%
46 46 0 +1
18 Jan. 2021
ATM
Atlético Mineiro Sub 20
2 - 1
Athlético PR Sub 20
ATL
40%
24%
35%
47 45 2 -1
11 Jan. 2021
ATL
Athlético PR Sub 20
3 - 1
Flamengo Sub 20
FLA
53%
23%
25%
46 45 1 +1
X