Bagnolese vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
27.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bagnolese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
BAG
1 - 2
TUT
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAG
32%
25%
44%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
FOR
0 - 0
BAG
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BAG
2 - 2
SAN
42%
24%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 1
BAG
54%
24%
23%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
MEZ
37%
27%
37%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 1
MEZ
54%
23%
23%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
MEZ
0 - 3
VIR
34%
26%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
CER
2 - 2
MEZ
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |