Baden vs Luzern II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.1%
10.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-37%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Baden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2012 |
BAD
2 - 1
FCK
59%
21%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
BAD
0 - 5
SCH
26%
22%
52%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
SCH
0 - 5
BAD
26%
24%
50%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
BAD
6 - 0
GRA
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
FCG
0 - 0
BAD
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 2
WAN
53%
22%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
MUT
3 - 1
LUZ
23%
22%
55%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
LUZ
0 - 0
SOL
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
DOR
1 - 3
LUZ
52%
21%
27%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
LUZ
4 - 1
ZOF
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |