Bad Aussee vs Grazer AK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Bad Aussee
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
STU
5 - 2
AUS
52%
24%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
AUS
3 - 1
SPI
64%
21%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
WAC
1 - 1
AUS
45%
26%
29%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
AUS
1 - 1
FCB
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
HAR
5 - 1
AUS
45%
25%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Grazer AK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
3 - 1
FEL
71%
19%
11%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2008 |
FCK
2 - 2
GRA
44%
25%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 1
STF
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2008 |
ALL
1 - 1
GRA
17%
22%
62%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
GRA
2 - 0
KLA
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | +1 |