Herrera FC vs Independiente Chorrera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
39.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Herrera FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 1
AFC
46%
29%
26%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
AZU
0 - 2
AMA
43%
30%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
SMI
1 - 1
AZU
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
TAU
1 - 1
AZU
42%
27%
31%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
AZU
1 - 1
COS
44%
29%
27%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Independiente Chorrera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2021 |
AMA
4 - 0
IND
30%
30%
40%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
IND
1 - 0
TAU
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
ARA
0 - 0
IND
35%
29%
37%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 2
FOR
42%
24%
34%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2021 |
IND
0 - 0
AFC
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |