Azerbaijan vs Italy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.2%
+1
6.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.3%
3-3
0.1%
0
22.1%
69.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
21.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
28.9%
0-2
17.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
22.1%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.2%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Azerbaijan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
MLT
2 - 2
AZE
21%
24%
54%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
AZE
0 - 0
HRV
8%
19%
72%
|
64 | 91 | 27 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
NOR
0 - 0
AZE
73%
19%
8%
|
63 | 85 | 22 | +1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
SRB
4 - 1
AZE
76%
17%
7%
|
64 | 84 | 20 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
AZE
2 - 0
MLT
63%
23%
14%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Italy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
BGR
68%
21%
11%
|
92 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 0
MLT
81%
15%
4%
|
92 | 49 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2015 |
ITA
0 - 1
PRT
44%
26%
30%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2015 |
HRV
1 - 1
ITA
43%
26%
31%
|
92 | 91 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2015 |
ITA
1 - 1
ENG
35%
26%
39%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |