AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.4%
11.4%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
HER
3 - 2
AZA
16%
22%
62%
|
84 | 62 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2009 |
SCH
1 - 5
AZA
41%
22%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
AZA
3 - 1
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
TWE
3 - 0
AZA
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
AJA
1 - 1
AZA
60%
21%
19%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Sparta Rotterdam
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 2
TWE
26%
26%
48%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
NEC
1 - 1
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
SPA
4 - 0
AJA
15%
20%
66%
|
62 | 88 | 26 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2009 |
SPA
0 - 0
GRA
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VOL
3 - 0
SPA
56%
22%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |