AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.9%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
15%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.3%
8.8%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
4 - 0
RKC
80%
15%
6%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2020 |
SCH
1 - 2
AZA
17%
21%
62%
|
85 | 75 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2020 |
FCO
0 - 2
AZA
7%
14%
79%
|
85 | 54 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2020 |
AZA
1 - 3
WIL
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 76 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
KVM
1 - 5
AZA
24%
23%
52%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
NAC Breda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
NAC
1 - 1
FCO
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2020 |
EXC
2 - 2
NAC
46%
24%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GAE
1 - 0
NAC
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
2 - 0
PSV
10%
17%
73%
|
64 | 87 | 23 | +3 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
NAC
3 - 1
ALK
60%
23%
17%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |