Q. Europa League 3ra Ronda. Final
Global 2-1
AZ Alkmaar vs IFK Göteborg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 1
AND
38%
27%
35%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
AZA
2 - 0
FEN
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 1
PSV
37%
27%
36%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
WIL
0 - 3
AZA
15%
22%
63%
|
85 | 59 | 26 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
AZA
1 - 0
TWE
41%
26%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
IFK Göteborg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
HAL
1 - 0
GÖT
30%
27%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
GÖT
3 - 0
HAL
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
GÖT
3 - 4
KAL
47%
25%
29%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2010 |
AFC
0 - 2
GÖT
16%
23%
62%
|
80 | 54 | 26 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
GEF
0 - 0
GÖT
26%
27%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |