AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.7%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 1
SPA
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
NAC
1 - 3
AZA
16%
21%
64%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
AZA
0 - 0
VVV
66%
20%
15%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 4
AZA
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
AZA
2 - 2
RJC
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
UTR
3 - 1
TWE
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
TWE
1 - 1
SPA
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
AJA
2 - 1
TWE
77%
15%
8%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
TWE
0 - 4
AZA
17%
21%
62%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SCH
1 - 0
TWE
52%
25%
24%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |