AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
34.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
MVV
3 - 4
AZA
33%
25%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 3
PSV
17%
20%
63%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
2 - 0
HER
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1999 |
AZA
0 - 1
SCH
40%
25%
36%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
SPA
3 - 6
AZA
39%
25%
36%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 3
FEY
29%
26%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1999 |
TWE
3 - 2
SPA
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
PSV
2 - 2
TWE
81%
12%
7%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1999 |
GRA
0 - 0
TWE
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1999 |
NEC
0 - 1
TWE
32%
26%
42%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |