AZ Alkmaar vs Twente analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
20.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AZ Alkmaar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
ZWO
0 - 0
AZA
12%
21%
68%
|
88 | 66 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1981 |
LIV
3 - 2
AZA
50%
25%
26%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 0
WIL
88%
9%
4%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 1981 |
AZA
2 - 2
LIV
58%
23%
19%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1981 |
FEY
4 - 2
AZA
51%
23%
26%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Twente
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 3
RJC
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 73 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1981 |
UTR
4 - 2
TWE
30%
27%
44%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1981 |
TWE
1 - 0
GAE
79%
14%
8%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
PSV
4 - 0
TWE
53%
24%
23%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1981 |
TWE
0 - 1
NAC
82%
12%
6%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |