Ayr United vs Raith Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ICT
1 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
AYR
1 - 1
DUN
25%
25%
50%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
AYR
2 - 2
ARB
44%
27%
29%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2021 |
KIL
2 - 0
AYR
61%
22%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AYR
3 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Raith Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
RAI
1 - 0
FOR
79%
14%
8%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
RAI
2 - 1
ABE
24%
25%
51%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | +2 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ICT
1 - 0
RAI
44%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
4 - 4
HAM
55%
23%
22%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
RAI
0 - 0
ALL
71%
17%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |