Ayr United vs Hamilton Academical analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.5%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
30.3%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
THE
0 - 3
AYR
22%
22%
57%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
AYR
2 - 0
QOS
48%
24%
28%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
BRE
1 - 2
AYR
50%
23%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
AYR
1 - 1
BRE
49%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
AYR
3 - 3
FOR
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Hamilton Academical
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2011 |
QUE
0 - 2
HAM
32%
26%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2011 |
BER
0 - 2
HAM
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 2
ICT
24%
28%
48%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
STJ
1 - 0
HAM
57%
25%
19%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2011 |
HAM
1 - 0
HIB
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |