Ayr United vs Aberdeen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
32.1%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ayr United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
DUN
2 - 3
AYR
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
AYR
4 - 2
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
CLY
1 - 0
AYR
50%
25%
26%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
AYR
3 - 1
CWB
41%
24%
35%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1928 |
RAI
4 - 2
AYR
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aberdeen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1928 |
ABE
1 - 3
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1928 |
TLA
1 - 3
ABE
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1928 |
ABE
2 - 1
AIR
51%
22%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1928 |
MHE
1 - 0
ABE
65%
19%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1928 |
ABE
3 - 1
RAI
72%
16%
11%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |