Aylesbury vs Shefford Town & Campton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
HAT
0 - 2
AYL
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AYL
1 - 1
TRI
35%
23%
42%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
HOD
4 - 3
AYL
55%
21%
24%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
AYL
0 - 5
POT
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
YAT
4 - 3
AYL
74%
17%
9%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Shefford Town & Campton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2022 |
STC
2 - 2
LON
91%
7%
2%
|
22 | 8 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
LEV
3 - 0
STC
33%
22%
45%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANN
5 - 0
STC
51%
22%
28%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 1
STC
26%
21%
53%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GRA
1 - 3
STC
55%
20%
24%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |