Aylesbury vs London Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
20.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
HAT
2 - 3
AYL
49%
22%
29%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
COL
0 - 2
AYL
36%
23%
41%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2024 |
STC
1 - 3
AYL
27%
20%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
AYL
52%
22%
27%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LON
5 - 2
AYL
34%
21%
46%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
London Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ARL
2 - 2
LON
33%
23%
44%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
FCR
5 - 3
LON
67%
17%
16%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
LON
4 - 3
BIG
33%
21%
47%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
LON
71%
16%
13%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
LON
1 - 2
STA
55%
20%
25%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | -2 |