Aylesbury United vs North Leigh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.6%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
24.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aylesbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
AYL
38%
22%
40%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2019 |
HAY
3 - 1
AYL
42%
23%
36%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
AFD
0 - 0
AYL
53%
22%
25%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SEV
2 - 4
AYL
43%
23%
35%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
AYL
2 - 2
SEV
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
North Leigh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 3
COR
21%
20%
60%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2019 |
COL
1 - 2
NOR
36%
21%
44%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
KEM
2 - 4
NOR
40%
22%
38%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
OXF
7 - 0
NOR
72%
16%
12%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 2
BED
29%
21%
50%
|
23 | 32 | 9 | -1 |