SDZ vs Hillegom analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.1%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
8%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
43.4%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-35%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
19
1º
12º
11º
33
4º
9º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 52 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 52 |
3º
|
27% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
83.5% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
49% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
63.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 37 |
8º
|
84% | |
|
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
84% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 22 |
11º
|
81% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
12º
|
81% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 14 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 9 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SDZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ASS
3 - 3
SDZ
37%
22%
42%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SDZ
1 - 2
LSV
42%
22%
36%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
6 - 0
SDZ
77%
14%
10%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
FWO
7 - 2
SDZ
67%
17%
16%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
SDZ
5 - 1
UIT
44%
22%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Hillegom
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
0 - 0
UIT
65%
18%
17%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SVD
0 - 2
HIL
6%
11%
83%
|
23 | 9 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 3
RKS
90%
7%
3%
|
23 | 10 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
IVV
2 - 0
HIL
5%
10%
85%
|
25 | 8 | 17 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
HIL
3 - 1
AGB
18%
18%
64%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +4 |