Avtodor vs Bataisk 2007 analysis

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

21.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%

24.7%

Draw

0-0

7.7%

1-1

11.7%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

0

24.7%

53.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avtodor

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Oct. 2008	ZHE 2 - 2 AVV 66% 20% 14%	31	40	9	0
04 Oct. 2008	AVV 3 - 1 GAZ 31% 26% 43%	28	40	12	+3
28 Sep. 2008	ROT 1 - 1 AVV 82% 13% 6%	27	43	16	+1
22 Sep. 2008	AVV 3 - 1 AST 52% 25% 23%	26	27	1	+1
16 Sep. 2008	KRD 2 - 2 AVV 71% 18% 12%	26	36	10	0

Matches

Bataisk 2007

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
10 Oct. 2008	BAT 2 - 1 NKS 76% 16% 8%	48	30	18	0
04 Oct. 2008	DMA 1 - 0 BAT 23% 25% 51%	50	36	14	-2
28 Sep. 2008	BAT 3 - 0 SUA 78% 15% 7%	50	29	21	0
22 Sep. 2008	SOC 1 - 0 BAT 20% 24% 56%	51	33	18	-1
16 Sep. 2008	BAT 1 - 0 FCO 57% 23% 21%	50	47	3	+1