Avranches vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
49.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2015 |
COL
4 - 2
AVR
32%
29%
39%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2015 |
AVR
1 - 0
LOR
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
AVR
53%
25%
22%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
AVR
4 - 1
IST
53%
25%
22%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
MAT
0 - 1
AVR
16%
22%
62%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
MET
2 - 3
MPL
30%
27%
43%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
56%
24%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2015 |
SPI
1 - 2
MET
16%
22%
63%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
MET
0 - 1
MON
28%
27%
45%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2014 |
NAN
4 - 2
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |