Avranches vs Cholet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
18.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
PAU
2 - 0
AVR
29%
27%
44%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 3
RED
42%
28%
30%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 0
AVR
33%
26%
41%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
AVR
1 - 1
DUN
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
USB
1 - 0
AVR
42%
27%
32%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Cholet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 1
CON
24%
25%
51%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2017 |
LYO
0 - 0
CHO
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2017 |
PAU
1 - 4
CHO
50%
27%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Aug. 2017 |
CHO
1 - 2
RED
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2017 |
LUS
0 - 5
CHO
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |