Aviación vs Cantera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.1%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
27.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aviación
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
EFM
2 - 3
AVC
74%
15%
10%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
AVC
0 - 2
OLA
15%
19%
66%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
LAA
2 - 1
AVC
77%
14%
9%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
AVC
3 - 0
ARY
29%
22%
49%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
COM
1 - 0
AVC
76%
15%
9%
|
7 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cantera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
OLA
2 - 2
CAN
83%
11%
6%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
1 - 1
ARY
46%
22%
32%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
RBR
2 - 1
CAN
58%
21%
21%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
CAN
2 - 2
VDO
37%
24%
39%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ALA
5 - 0
CAN
71%
16%
13%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |