Campionato Primavera 1 round 6

Avellino U19 vs ACR Messina U19 analysis

Avellino U19 ACR Messina U19
12 ELO 33
1.4% Tilt -2.1%
15297º General ELO ranking 42083º
436º Country ELO ranking 1293º
ELO win probability
14.2%
Avellino U19
21.4%
Draw
64.4%
ACR Messina U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.2%
Win probability
Avellino U19
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
64.4%
Win probability
ACR Messina U19
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.9%
0-3
8%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Avellino U19
ACR Messina U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Avellino U19
Avellino U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2007
AVE
Avellino U19
0 - 1
Lecce U19
LEC
14%
22%
64%
13 38 25 0
06 Nov. 2007
PAL
Palermo U19
1 - 1
Avellino U19
AVE
82%
12%
5%
12 39 27 +1
03 Nov. 2007
BAR
SSC Bari U19
0 - 1
Avellino U19
AVE
79%
14%
7%
10 22 12 +2

Matches

ACR Messina U19
ACR Messina U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Nov. 2007
MSN
ACR Messina U19
1 - 1
Roma U19
ROM
25%
25%
50%
31 44 13 0
06 Nov. 2007
SIE
Siena U19
1 - 1
ACR Messina U19
MSN
47%
24%
29%
30 29 1 +1
03 Nov. 2007
GRO
Grosseto U19
1 - 0
ACR Messina U19
MSN
18%
22%
60%
30 15 15 0