Aveley vs Witham Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
8.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
ENF
4 - 7
AVE
30%
26%
44%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2008 |
AVE
3 - 2
GRE
54%
25%
22%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
TIL
0 - 0
AVE
21%
24%
55%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
AVE
1 - 2
HIT
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2008 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVE
22%
25%
53%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Witham Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
WHI
0 - 4
CHE
26%
22%
53%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
WHI
81%
12%
7%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOH
6 - 0
WHI
66%
18%
16%
|
15 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 2008 |
ILF
1 - 0
WHI
63%
20%
18%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
WHI
1 - 6
CHA
27%
23%
50%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | -1 |