Aveley vs Basildon United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.3%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.4%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.9%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.7%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.6%
5.1%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.9%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aveley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DER
0 - 4
AVE
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
5 - 3
MAL
34%
24%
42%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
CAN
3 - 1
AVE
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AVE
1 - 2
UXB
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
AVE
16%
20%
65%
|
38 | 22 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Basildon United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
UXB
2 - 1
BAS
70%
19%
11%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BRE
3 - 2
BAS
58%
22%
21%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
BAR
32%
24%
44%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
COL
2 - 5
BAS
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 1
CTF
30%
23%
48%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | -1 |