Avaí vs Santo André analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
42.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
AVA
66%
21%
14%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
AVA
1 - 3
SAN
34%
28%
38%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -3 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 0
AVA
53%
26%
21%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2005 |
AVA
2 - 1
NAU
39%
27%
34%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2005 |
ANA
2 - 0
AVA
41%
26%
33%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
3 - 0
SAN
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 3
SAN
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2005 |
BAH
2 - 0
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
CAX
77%
15%
7%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |