Avaí vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
21.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 1
MAR
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
GAM
0 - 3
AVA
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
AVA
3 - 0
CRI
59%
24%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 0
AVA
44%
27%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
AVA
4 - 1
BAH
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 1
PPE
39%
27%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
PPE
2 - 2
FOR
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
GRÊ
1 - 0
PPE
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
PPE
1 - 0
CRB
76%
16%
8%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
PPE
2 - 2
BRA
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |