Avaí vs Metropolitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.7%
9.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
JEC
3 - 0
AVA
32%
24%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
0 - 1
FFL
42%
25%
34%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 5
AVA
12%
19%
69%
|
71 | 46 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
AVA
3 - 0
CAM
83%
11%
5%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
BRU
0 - 1
AVA
13%
20%
67%
|
71 | 49 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
MET
1 - 2
CRI
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CHA
1 - 1
MET
68%
19%
13%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2012 |
HER
2 - 3
MET
55%
23%
22%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
MET
5 - 4
JEC
25%
25%
50%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2012 |
FFL
3 - 1
MET
84%
12%
5%
|
49 | 77 | 28 | 0 |