Avaí vs Grêmio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.9%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
50.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 1
AVA
68%
20%
13%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
CHA
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
CRI
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 1
VAS
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 2
AVA
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
1 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2019 |
LIB
0 - 2
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
0 - 0
SCI
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SCI
0 - 0
GRE
42%
28%
31%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
GRE
3 - 1
CEN
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 75 | 11 | 0 |